Venezuela: Tense calm reigns ahead of threats of dual presidential inaugurations

December 5, 2024
Issue 
Nicolas Maduro and Edmundo Gonzales
President Nicol谩s Maduro (left) and right-wing opposition candidate Edmundo Gonz谩lez. Photos: Wikimedia

A tense calm reigns in Venezuela as inauguration day approaches, with two candidates vowing to be sworn in as president.

Incumbent president Nicol谩s Maduro has declared he will attend the official inauguration ceremony in the National Assembly on January 10. The National Electoral Council (CNE) declared Maduro winner of the July 28 presidential election, but four months later has failed to present any evidence to ratify this result.

Meanwhile, right-wing opposition candidate Edmundo Gonz谩lez has pledged to return from exile and be sworn in at the ceremony. Gonz谩lez鈥檚 campaign team claims alleged polling centre tally sheets collected by party scrutineers on election day show him winning by a big margin.

It is not clear how Gonz谩lez plans to re-enter the country, where he faces arrest, much less be sworn in by the government-controlled parliament.

But many, such as human rights activist Mar铆a Alejandra D铆az from the Popular Democratic Front (FDP), fear the situation could trigger a new round of political violence and state repression.

D铆az told 麻豆传媒: 鈥淲e are in a difficult position because we are demanding justice while caught between two warring parties鈥 who seem 鈥渋ntent on continuing head-on towards a collision in the run-up to January 10, which could end very badly.

鈥淭hat is precisely what we want to avoid.鈥

The FDP, which was set up by left-wing and moderate opposition groups, is campaigning for the CNE to publish the election results 鈥 as per its legal requirements 鈥 so Venezuelans can verify who won.

Exacerbating the possibilities of violence, US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken announced his government officially recognised Gonz谩lez as president-elect on November 19, even offering him help to re-enter Venezuela.

Blinken鈥檚 statement came a day after Congress鈥檚 House of Representatives passed the BOLIVAR Act, banning state contracts with businesses associated with the Maduro government.

notes 鈥渢he BOLIVAR Act does not translate into new restrictions against Venezuela鈥, but rather seeks to 鈥渃odify measures imposed via executive orders into legislation鈥.

The Biden administration鈥檚 stance has been opposed by left-leaning Latin American governments, particularly those of Brazil and Colombia.

Colombian foreign minister Luis Murillo outlined his government鈥檚 position on that the election in Venezuela 鈥渨as not completely free, due to two factors鈥.

鈥淭he first are the sanctions that weigh on Venezuela and even on government candidates, imposed mainly by the United States and the European Union, and which obviously do not allow for a free election.鈥

Economic sanctions have been a major factor in Venezuela鈥檚 economic crisis, depriving the country of the ability to import necessary goods, such as food, medicines and spare parts for its oil industry.

The US government pledged to lift the blockade if Venezuelans voted for the opposition.

鈥淭he second factor was the attitude of the Venezuelan government itself 鈥 There was a lot of harassment of certain opposition figures or leaders, which made the atmosphere more tense by not ensuring guarantees for all participants.鈥

Given this, Murillo said, it was up to Venezuelans 鈥渢o decide how to arrive at a process of free elections鈥. In the meantime, Murillo said on , his government鈥檚 stance remained the same: 鈥淣o results, no recognition鈥.

Venezuela鈥檚 National Assembly responded to the US鈥檚 latest moves by passing the Liberator Sim贸n Bol铆var Against the Imperialist Blockade Organic Law on November 28.

Under the new law, those who 鈥渉ave promoted, instigated, requested, invoked, favoured, supported or participated in the adoption or execution of coercive measures [sanctions] against the Venezuelan population, the public authorities or their authorities by a foreign state, group of states or corporations鈥 can face up to 30-years jail or a 60-year ban on running for public office.

The FDP also condemned the BOLIVAR Act as an attack on Venezuela鈥檚 sovereignty in a .

The FDP said it strongly opposed 鈥渇oreign interference in Venezuela's internal affairs. It is up to the Venezuelan people, in full exercise of their sovereignty, to define their collective destiny.鈥

But the FDP also noted with concern the government鈥檚 ongoing attempts to dehumanise and criminalise all opponents. Just days earlier, interior minister Diosdado Cabello accused FDP leaders of 鈥減lanning violent acts鈥 together with right-wing opposition leaders, though no evidence was presented for these claims.

These types of threats, only 鈥渟eek to silence those who raise their voices against violations of the Constitution and choose to point the way towards persecution, disqualifications and the closure of political spaces鈥.

Reaffirming its 鈥渞espect for the self-determination of the Venezuelan people鈥 and support 鈥渇or a constitutional way out鈥 of the current crisis, the FDP said: 鈥淭his begins with respect for the vote of all Venezuelans.鈥

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