Solutions exist to avoid climate disaster

December 7, 2012
Issue 

Several recent scientific reports on climate change have warned we are headed for disaster, giving frightening evidence of just how bad things could get. It鈥檚 just as frightening how little world governments intend to do about it.

But it鈥檚 maddening to think how easy it would be to take serious action on climate, and staggering to add up the benefits of doing so.

Take the example given by US ecologist Lester Brown . He said burning coal makes up 40% of world carbon emissions from energy. To replace that coal with wind power, Brown said we鈥檇 need to build about 1.5 million wind turbines worldwide 鈥 and we should aim to do it in 10 years.

That might seem like too huge a task: 1.5 million wind turbines would be .

But Brown pointed out that about 65 million cars had been made in the past year. If just one industry can produce that many cars in a single year, there is no question we could build 1.5 million wind turbines in 10 years, if society鈥檚 resources were mobilised to that end.

The car industry, such a big polluter, is still not building as many cars as it wants to. In their 2012 book The Endless Crisis, US Marxists John Bellamy Foster and Robert McChesney said the car industry, even before the 2008 crash, 鈥渨as faced with huge amounts of excess capacity 鈥 equal to approximately one-third of its total capacity鈥.

They quoted a , which said: 鈥淗aving indulged in a global orgy of factory-building in recent years, the industry has the capacity to make an astounding 94 million vehicles each year. That鈥檚 about 34 million too many based on current sales.鈥

Business groups tell us that the profit motive and markets allocate resources rationally and efficiently. But in practice, it鈥檚 so irrational and inefficient that the idle manufacturing capacity in the car industry alone could build Brown鈥檚 1.5 million wind turbines.

It is not just with the car industry that the 鈥渆fficient markets hypothesis鈥 falls flat. On an economy-wide scale, Foster and McChesney present data showing idle manufacturing capacity across the US rose from 15% in 1970 to 22% in 2010. That鈥檚 an immense store of potential jobs and climate solutions that is idle because its private owners haven鈥檛 worked out a way to profit from using it.

In his book , Brown came up with a 鈥淧lan B Budget鈥, which added up the costs of restoring the Earth鈥檚 ecosystems. His budget included social goals, such as universal education and health care, and natural restoration projects, such as tree planting, soil renewal and water security.

Brown said this budget to 鈥渞estore the Earth鈥 required $187 billion a year: equal to just one eighth of global military spending. It鈥檚 questionable that Brown鈥檚 budget includes all the right goals or enough goals. But even if he has underestimated the cost by 200%, the world鈥檚 military budget could finance the job several times over.

Then consider the $32 trillion the Tax Justice Network estimates the tax-dodging super-rich could have . That鈥檚 equal to almost half of global GDP. Imagine what could be achieved if that ill-gotten wealth was not locked up by banks and other financial parasites.

Last year, environmental consultants Ecofys that said the world could switch to 100% renewable energy in 40 years. It said the task would cost about 3% of world GDP a year, with the money spent on renewables, energy infrastructure and energy efficiency.

The report also said that this big upfront clean energy investment would pay big social dividends, lowering energy costs by about . Along with the climate benefits, spending big on a rollout of renewable energy would save money that otherwise will go into the hands of fossil fuel companies.

That is also why every oil, coal and gas company鈥檚 business plan is to make sure that never happens.

It is sometimes said that the big corporate polluters and bankers are guilty of ignoring the climate crisis. Some are, but the big money is paying very close attention 鈥 looking for ways to profit from whatever happens.

A much warmer world will bring more dangerous storms, droughts, floods and bushfires 鈥 but it will also present new opportunities to profit from the disasters. In her book The Shock Doctrine, Naomi Klein showed how corporations and Western governments have become experts in taking advantage of crisis and human misery.

She said this tendency has grown worse, with an 鈥渋ntensely violent brand of disaster capitalism鈥 鈥 defined by the West鈥檚 invasions of Afghanistan and Iraq 鈥 dominating 鈥渟ince September 11鈥.

Because fossil fuel use is so central to the capitalist economy, and because the system must ceaselessly grow in wasteful ways or risk collapse, 鈥渄isaster capitalism鈥 is the only capitalism we will ever get.

Humanity won鈥檛 be able to shape a new, sustainable relationship with nature as long as mining CEOs, media barons and army generals still make all the big decisions. The steps we need to take on climate change are affordable and relatively straightforward, but we won鈥檛 get close to dealing with climate change without fundamental social change as well.

The People鈥檚 Agreement adopted by the , held in Cochabamba, Bolivia, made the point this way: 鈥淗umanity confronts a great dilemma: to continue on the path of capitalism, depredation, and death, or to choose the path of harmony with nature and respect for life.

鈥淚t is imperative that we forge a new system that restores harmony with nature and among human beings. And for there to be balance with nature, there must first be equity among human beings.鈥

Comments

Hi, I thought this might be an appropriate time and place to share this YouTube link to a 50 minute documentary about our true Technical Reality re clean power generation. http://youtu.be/rqv0Y1t1bNw Also another very interesting TEDx Talk about nano-carbon molecules and their use in producing clean cheap safe power alternatives. http://youtu.be/rqv0Y1t1bNw :-)
The plug ins are useless if they're incompatible with the operating system. While Marxism has some programming to connect with the plug ins, it is an operating system that is going to take far longer than climate change will allow, for it to gain any real support. We need an operating system that can speak directly with capitalism to create an ideological operating system of reciprocal balance and we need it yesterday! There is a sense of henny penny in the climate change debate, which has allowed political double speak to get the upper hand. We need to recognise loud and clear that the heart of the climate change debate must be one of ideological change and, in taking into account the nature of our current system, that ideological change must have the right kind of PR image. Aboriginal culture is revered the world over and the lack of a treaty gives the world a moral right to demand UN intervention. Handled correctly that would place a reciprocal culture of at least 50,000 years, in direct equitable negotiation with a first world power, at a time when the world desperately needs a balanced sustainable future. The answer we need is right here! Trevor Hull

You need 麻豆传媒, and we need you!

麻豆传媒 is funded by contributions from readers and supporters. Help us reach our funding target.

Make a One-off Donation or choose from one of our Monthly Donation options.

Become a supporter to get the digital edition for $5 per month or the print edition for $10 per month. One-time payment options are available.

You can also call 1800 634 206 to make a donation or to become a supporter. Thank you.