AUKUS is being promoted as the (very) expensive, but vital, answer to Australia鈥檚 defence needs for the next few decades.
Payments, infrastructure planning and training have begun. Up to eight long-range, nuclear-powered but conventionally-armed submarines 鈥斅爏ome to be built here 鈥斅爓ill be based on our West coast, and then the East. United States vessels will use these bases too.
Additional commitments include US B52 bomber and US combat unit training rotation through the Northern Territory; big new US storage, including weaponry, in Australia; and extensive integration and training of Australian personnel with US forces, all backed by enhanced intelligence-sharing, including at Pine Gap and North West Cape bases.
All of this is consistent with the Force Posture Agreement from Prime Minister Tony Abbott鈥檚 days, and regular rationalisations rolled out since (such as the 鈥Defence Strategic Review鈥 of May last year).
The estimated $368 billion price tag sealed the deal: that鈥檚 $14,000 for each Australian.
The anti-AUKUS movement reckons that money could be much better spent: after relief from inflation, interest rates and the sheer rise in cost of living, there鈥檚 a myriad of social programs that have suffered a decline over 40 years of neoliberal government.
Where鈥檚 the egalitarian country we used to be? We have unmet housing needs, hospitals under stress and our public schools are under-resourced.
But that鈥檚 only the start: China is a supposed threat and 鈥斅燼s in WWII 鈥斅爓e鈥檝e got to 鈥渇ace reality鈥 and stick with 鈥渓ike-minded defenders of the rules-based international order鈥 who have the tech know-how we need.
Does China, our biggest trading partner, actually threaten Australia?
Is this the sort of defence alliance we need, or should we lead with cooperative and diplomatic initiatives in our region that builds security too?
A cornered China will see US spy and submarine bases and airfields here as targets.
Under Australian defence establishment and US pressure, and seduced by his elevation to the 鈥淎nglo Club鈥, the one-time firebrand Anthony Albanese changed nothing about聽AUKUS.
Not only was he on a unity ticket with the Coalition, but there had been a complete absence of electoral, parliamentary, even caucus, debate on AUKUS.
Many argue these long-range subs may play a (minor) part in maintaining US strategic hegemony in the Asia-Pacific, notably around Taiwan. But they are not even designed to defend Australia.
Australia鈥檚 sovereignty is seriously compromised by AUKUS鈥 deep integration, planned with a capitalist US鈥 war-fighting preparations.
China has one foreign military base 鈥 in the Red Sea. Do you know how many hundreds ? Seven hundred and fifty in 80 countries and colonies around the world.
Even such scions of the conservative establishment as former foreign minister Alexander Downer question Australia鈥檚 technical capacity to build and maintain these subs.
What about the jobs? We oppose increasing Australia鈥檚 dependence on a war economy when our peace needs are manifest.
And this doesn鈥檛 even explore the (carefully avoided) questions for Labor over the nuclear issue! Their response? Excise Adelaide and Perth submarine zones from Australia鈥檚 nuclear security laws!
Right now, the government is covertly crab-walking the country to a new pro-nuclear stance 鈥斅爋n security, maintenance and waste 鈥斅爓hich has been questioned including by credible, experienced former naval personnel and nuclear industry experts.
Several former Australian leaders, political and military, see this programs necessary future US approvals as a gamble, arguing that if a resources crunch comes, our interests will lose out.
British involvement in AUKUS seems minor, even tokenistic, but our future subs design is based on theirs.
Can we really look to the monarchist Britain, 70 years after it took up its colonial baggage and went home from 鈥渆ast of Suez鈥, as a defence partner?
Finally, there鈥檚 US democracy.
Let鈥檚 dispense with rhetoric: that battered 18th-century institution is distinctly at risk.
Traduced by four years of President Donald Trump鈥檚 presidency, which ended with his covert goading of the infamous January 6, 2020 insurrection at the Washington Capitol, we watch as two aged pensioners line up for a second go in the White House.
It is beyond bizarre that Australian Labor is deeper in cahoots with such a warmongering nation than was ever the case under the Liberals.
Would President Trump (Mark II) 鈥斅 鈥斅爀ndorse AUKUS? Even a well-lubricated 鈥淥utback Bill鈥 at the Birdsville Cup wouldn鈥檛 back it.
Prudence alone demands we pause AUKUS nuclear propulsion provisions, as the terms of allow signatories to do.
That鈥檚 what we want.
Calm reflection would cancel AUKUS.
[Ken Blackman works with the which is preparing for a rally at the State Library of Victoria, followed by a march on March 16.]