Ukraine: 'We want genuine peace negotiations, not another ā€œceasefireā€ until the next invasion'

December 8, 2022
Issue 
Stop the war on Ukraine
'Ukrainians want peace, not another "ceasefire" that will last until the next invasion.' Photo: Michael MĆ¼cke/Pexels

The liberation of the southern port city of Kherson in mid-November represented an important victory in Ukraineā€™s just war of resistance against Russian President Vladimir Putinā€™s brutal invasion.

The recapture of the only major city seized by Russian forces since February 24 followed the liberation of large swathes of eastern Kharkiv Oblast since September and represents the most significant gain yet of the Ukrainian counter offensive, which began in August.

Kherson locals celebrated and cheered Ukrainian fighters as they entered the city and raised the nationā€™s flag over Freedom Square on November 11. The images were a stark contrast to the courageous unarmed protests by locals against the arrival of Russiaā€™s occupying forces nine months ago, protests that were subsequently suppressed.

While fighting continues in the Luhansk, Zaporizhzhia and Donetsk oblasts, and Russia tries to hold off further Ukrainian advances in Kharkiv and Kherson, Putin has sought to demoralise the Ukrainian people through a mass campaign of aerial destruction that has damaged the majority of Ukraineā€™s energy infrastructure amid the cold winter.

US open to negotiations

In this context, an increasing number of voices from the United States and Russia have emerged calling for negotiations.

On the US side, the growing cost of the war ā€” in terms of financial aid and depleted military stockpiles ā€” along with pressure from European leaders facing domestic turmoil over rising energy prices, for negotiations.

The most notable of these voices has been US Army General Mark Milley, the highest-ranking US military officer. In a to The Economic Club of New York on November 9, Milley said: ā€œThere has to be a mutual recognition that military victory, in the true sense of the word, is maybe not achievable through military means, so therefore you need to turn to other means.ā€

Milley said a window of opportunity for ending the conflict could come when the front lines stabilised in winter: ā€œWhen thereā€™s an opportunity to negotiate when peace can be achieved, seize it.ā€

The comments came just days after US President Joe Bidenā€™s top national security adviser, Jake Sullivan, made an unannounced visit to Kyiv. Meeting with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, he raised ā€œthe need for a diplomatic resolution to the warā€, according to a November 10 ±·µž°äĢż±·±š·É²õĢż.

Russia seeks ceasefire

Milleyā€™s comments also came as news filtered out of ā€œconfidential conversationsā€ between the US and Russia.

The Wall Street Journal on November 7 that Sullivan has been in ongoing talks with Putinā€™s foreign policy adviser Yuri Ushakov and Russiaā€™s Security Council Secretary Nikolai Patrushev to guard ā€œagainst the risk of escalationā€.

Moreover, according to , CIA Director Bill Burns and Russiaā€™s SVR spy agency chief Sergei Naryshkin met on November 14 in the ā€œhighest-ranking face-to-face engagement between US and Russian officialsā€ since the start of the war.

The meeting was hosted in Turkey, whose president, Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, after an approach by the US, ā€œsignalled a willingness to help broker a dealā€ NBC NewsĀ reported.

Back in mid-October, Russian foreign minister Sergei Lavrov said his country was ā€œwilling to engage with the United States or with Turkey on ways to end the warā€. Absent was any mention of willingness to engage with Ukraine.

A week after Sullivanā€™s visit to Kyiv, Russian Foreign Ministry spokesperson Maria Zakharova said Russia was ā€œstill open to negotiations, we have never refused them, we are ready to conduct them ā€” taking, of course, into account the realities being established at the momentā€.

By ā€œrealities being establishedā€, Zakharova was referring to Russiaā€™s declared annexation of the Donestsk, Kherson, Luhansk and Zaporizhzhia oblasts following sham referendums organised by its invading forces in September.

At the same time, Russia has faced huge losses in terms of troop numbers and military hardware, and is confronted with rising demoralisation among soldiers on the frontline and growing opposition to the war at home.

Zelenskyā€™s peace proposal

Responding to Sullivanā€™s calls for a ā€œdiplomatic resolution to the warā€, Zelensky emphasised, according to NBC News, ā€œthat Ukraine had pushed for diplomacy with Russia in the initial months of the war and only took talks with [Putin] off the table following documented atrocities and alleged war crimes that the official said had made talks with Moscow in the near term unpalatable to the Ukrainian publicā€.

But Zelensky has also warned that, behind talks of negotiations, ā€œRussia is now looking for a short truce, a respite to regain strengthā€. Ā the Halifax International Security Forum on November 18, Zelenksy added: ā€œSomeone may call [a ceasefire] the warā€™s end. But such a respite will only worsen the situation.ā€

ā€œImmoral compromises will only lead to new blood,ā€ he continued, noting an ā€œhonest peaceā€ can only be achieved by ā€œthe complete demolition of Russian aggressionā€.

the G20 summit on November 15, Zelensky laid out Ukraineā€™s proposal for peace: ā€œTo liberate our entire land from [Russia], we will still have to fight for a while longer ... However, if victory will be ours in any case ā€” and we are sure of that ā€” then shouldn't we try to implement our formula for peace to save thousands of lives and protect the world from further destabilisations?ā€

Zelenskyā€™s formula is based on a ten-point plan that addresses: radiation and nuclear safety; food security; energy security; release of all prisoners and deported persons; implementation of the United Nations Charter and restoration of Ukraineā€™s territorial integrity and the world order; withdrawal of Russian troops and cessation of hostilities; restoration of justice; countering ecocide; preventing escalation; and confirmation of the end of the war.

Zelensky said negotiations had ā€œto be public, not behind the scenesā€ and that ā€œthis aggressive Russian war [had] to end justly and on the basis of the UN Charter and international lawā€.

ā€œIf Russia opposes our peace formula, you will see that it only wants war.ā€

Ukrainian socialists

In an published on the website of Ukrainian socialist group Social Movement, Denys Bondar and Zakhar Popovych outlined their organisationā€™s view on prospects for peace negotiations.

ā€œAll wars, of course, end in negotiations. Ukraine has always clearly emphasised that it has no intention to march on Moscow and force a full and unconditional surrender.ā€

But they note that ā€œthere is a consensus in Ukrainian society that to achieve peace it is necessary to expel the Russian army from the country (by destroying it, if possible) and to ā€˜demilitariseā€™ the Russian Federation, at least until it can no longer shell peaceful Ukrainian cities and blackmail us by depriving us of electricity, water and heatingā€¦ā€

Furthermore, they add, those opposing ā€œsome territorial concessions for the sake of peaceā€ has risen to 87% of the population, with the ā€œoverwhelming majority of respondents in all regions of Ukraineā€ and ā€œrepresentatives of all major ethnic and linguistic groupsā€ included in this group, according to a recent Kyiv Institute of Sociology poll.

ā€œThose people in the US, Europe, and the world who truly want peace talks to begin must, at a minimum, demand an immediate end to the destruction of Ukraine's critical infrastructure by Russian missiles and the restoration of normal electricity and heat to the population...

ā€œInstead of wasting time talking about what the world needs to convince Zelensky of, it would be better to first convince the governments of the world to stop buying Russian oil and gas and provide Ukraine with missile defence systems and at least a couple thousand industrial transformers to restore normal electricity, water and heat supply...ā€

ā€œIt cannot be ruled out that if the Russians publicly offered to discuss a peace plan that would include the withdrawal of Russian troops from Ukraine and the prospects of restoring the territorial integrity of the country, Ukrainians might agree to some negotiations.

ā€œBut no proposals that include the withdrawal of Russian troops are currently being voiced. De facto, the Russians ā€˜offer negotiationsā€™ only on the cessation of the Ukrainian counteroffensive until they can accumulate forcesā€¦ā€

Summarising the stance of the majority of Ukrainians, they write: ā€œThere is no certainty that Russian authorities even understand that Zelensky cannot simply sign whatever he wants, and that even Biden cannot force Zelensky to sign an agreement that will not be approved by the majority of Ukrainiansā€¦

ā€œUkrainians want peace, not another ā€˜ceasefireā€™ that will last until the next invasion. Campaigning for peace is actually being conducted even in mainstream Ukrainian media, but trust in peace negotiations and lasting peace are impossible without public discussion of its terms.

ā€œEditor-in-chief of Ukrainian Pravda, Sevgil Musaeva, a Ukrainian of Crimean Tatar origin ā€” despite what the postponement of the Crimea issue means for her personally ā€” does not reject negotiations, but calls for a public formulation of fair peace terms, because if ā€˜Ukrainian society does not feel justice, any agreements are doomed from the beginningā€™

ā€œWe, Ukrainian socialists, must now watch carefully to ensure no one forgets that peace negotiations must be public and only public, and only on terms acceptable to Ukrainians. Only in this way can we count on a just and lasting peace.ā€

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