The staged drama of PM Scott Morrison鈥檚 June 19 cyber scare media conference and the media-in-tow Australian Federal Police raids on NSW Labor MP Shaoquett Moselmane make political sense as a cynical softening up exercise for the Coalition government鈥檚 July 1 public launch of a plan to spend $270 billion on mainly offensive military weapons.
The federal government whipped up public hysteria about a supposed military threat from China and the corporate media and the timid Labor opposition played along.
There is no threat of military attack by China against Australia as the government鈥檚 and the broader make clear.
Both reports assert that the increased offensive military capacity is not motivated by the threat of military attack 鈥 their assessment is that the prospect of 鈥渉igh-intensity military conflict in the聽Indo-Pacific鈥 鈥 deliberate or by miscalculation 鈥 remains remote.
Significantly, these reports abandon previous military strategic papers鈥 use of the threat of a 鈥渕ajor conventional attack against Australia鈥 as the primary justification for military strategy.
What Australia鈥檚 more aggressive military posture now explicitly targets is the increasing economic competition between the United States and China which, it says, 鈥渨ill be the principal driver of strategic dynamics in our region鈥.
Added to this is an expectation that the global economic crisis 鈥 precipitated by the COVID-19 pandemic 鈥 is creating more instability.
鈥淭he enormous economic impact of measures to contain the spread of the virus will set back development,鈥 argues the . 鈥淭his economic shock could undermine political and social stability.
鈥淚t is unlikely that the pandemic will fundamentally alter either the longer-term shift in relative global economic and strategic weight to the Indo-Pacific or China鈥檚 more active pursuit of greater influence in the Indo-Pacific. But it will have implications for how these trends develop.
鈥淲hile collaboration and cooperation is expanding in response to the pandemic, some countries are using the situation to secure greater influence. Strategic competition between the United States and China is unlikely to abate, and the pandemic has sharpened aspects of this competition.鈥
The $270 billion investment in Australia鈥檚 offensive military capability (part of the Coalition government鈥檚 projected military spending of $575 billion over the decade to 2029-30) is aimed at shoring up Australian imperialism鈥檚 power to militarily intimidate and bully poorer and militarily weaker governments in the region.
Labor opposition leader Anthony Albanese rushed to offer and praised the Prime Minister for signalling the government鈥檚 greater focus on the Indo-Pacific region. But Morrison did not signal any retreat from Australia鈥檚 imperialist interventions outside the region as part of its war alliance with the US.
鈥淲e remain prepared to make military contributions outside of our immediate region, where it is in our national interests to do so, underscored, including in support of US-led coalitions, and where it matches the capability we have to offer,鈥 .
Where Australian military capability can be applied in other theatres or for other purposes, he added, 鈥渢hen, of course, we show up鈥.
Morrison said that Australia鈥檚 military restructure was based on maintaining 鈥渁 credible capability to respond to any challenge in our immediate region鈥 where 鈥渨e must be most capable鈥.
This, he argued, would be Australia鈥檚 best contribution to 鈥渙ur ever-closer alliance with the United States, which is the foundation of our defence policy鈥.
Pandemics like COVID-19, and growing water and food scarcity, argues the Defence Strategic Update, 鈥渁re likely to result in greater political instability and friction within and between countries and reshape our security environment鈥. Coyly and briefly, the report acknowledges that 鈥渆xtreme weather events in which climate change plays a part鈥 is a major cause of this situation.
But the government鈥檚 response is not to prepare to help deal with these crises let alone take action to help avert, or at least abate, them.
Rather, it is to prepare to respond with more intimidating and deadly military force targeting among other things 鈥渋rregular maritime arrivals鈥, imperialist-speak for refugees.
Australia will continue to participate in 鈥渋ntelligence sharing (including through the Five Eyes arrangement)鈥, which is basically the secretive deal between the Anglophone imperialist countries of the US, Britain, Canada, New Zealand and Australia to spy on the world.
As whistleblower Edward Snowden revealed, the Five Eyes network operates under the US National Security Agency (NSA), which has hacked into computers all around the world, of international servers of internet companies, including Google and Facebook, and was collecting and storing hundreds of millions of text messages globally a day.
Australia鈥檚 offensive cyber warfare capability will receive an extra over the next decade.
In summary, in a COVID-19 besieged world, increasingly suffering from the escalating global climate crisis, the response of the Australia鈥檚 imperialist government is to step up military spending and strengthen its imperialist war alliance with the US rather than address these problems directly. This criminal and anti-social response should be totally rejected.