More Iran lies exposed by WikiLeaks, honest intelligence

March 17, 2013
Issue 
Thomas Fingar.

Former US National Intelligence Council chairperson Thomas Fingar received the 2013 Sam Adams Award for Integrity in Intelligence on January 23 for his role overseeing the .

The NIE findingā€™s that all 16 US intelligence agencies judged ā€œwith high confidence that in fall 2003, Tehran halted its nuclear weapons programā€ removed the immediate threat of a US-Israeli military attack on Iran.

It contradicted the previous NIE report from 2005, which had judged with ā€œhigh confidenceā€ that ā€œIran currently is determined to develop nuclear weapons despite its international obligations and international pressureā€.

In his memoirs, then-US president George W Bush complained that the NIE ā€œtied my hands on the military side ā€¦ how could I possibly explain using the military to destroy the nuclear facilities of a country the intelligence community said had no active nuclear weapons program?ā€.

Fingar accepted the Sam Adams Award in a ceremony at the Oxford Union, which was attended by previous winners. The 2010 winner, WikiLeaks editor-in-chief Julian Assange, spoke via video-link from the Ecuadorian Embassy in London. for ā€œtrying to correct the movement towards war with Iran based on liesā€.

Instead of welcoming the NIEā€™s findings as good news for ā€œinternational peace and securityā€, the NIE panicked Western governments who feared the report would undermine their efforts to demonise and isolate Iran.

Scaremongering about Iranā€™s nuclear program has provided the pretext for sanctions and other measures aimed at forcing regime change in Iran, and serves to divert attention from US-Israeli aggression in the Middle East.

that he took the unusual step of authorising publication of a declassified version of the NIEā€™s key findings because he feared that the reportā€™s conclusion ā€œwas so stunning that I felt it would immediately leak to the pressā€, and he wanted to be able to ā€œshape the news storiesā€.

US diplomatic cables published by WikiLeaks show that the US went into damage-limitation mode following publication of the NIEā€™s key findings on December 2, 2007. According to , 73 cables on the subject of Iran and the NIE were sent from US embassies in 48 different countries during the week after the reportā€™s release.

Most of these cables relate to demarches the US sent to each country, which included the USā€™s ā€œtalking pointsā€ on the NIE and a request that the country make a public statement in support of the US position.

The cables show that US allies were also acutely aware of the need to spin the NIEā€™s findings. A French foreign affairs official acknowledged that .

A reported that in a meeting with the US Deputy Chief of Mission at the US Embassy in London, British permanent under secretary of state, Peter Ricketts, ā€œrepeatedly stressed the ā€˜critical importance of the presentationā€™ of the NIEā€™s conclusionsā€.

The aim was to ensure that the report would ā€œnot detract from our collective ability to generate pressure on the regime via a third UNSC resolution and via EU action on sanctionsā€.

This was followed by meetings that the US and its allies used to . Diplomats and politicians argued that, despite the NIEā€™s key finding, . They repeatedly referred to uranium enrichment as ā€œthe real pacing elementā€, not weaponisation work.

Since the weaponisation was judged to have stopped in 2003, it was necessary to focus the rhetoric on Iranā€™s legal nuclear program.

On December 4, the British Foreign Office issued press guidance on the NIE saying, ā€œ[n]ow would be the worst time to relax ā€¦ it is still vital to stop the Iranians nowā€.

The US and its allies also repeatedly raised Iranā€™s so-called ā€œconfidence deficitā€. They claimed that because the NIE judged that Iran had a nuclear weapons program prior to 2003, ā€œIran should not have a program which could be used for military purposesā€.

In , it was agreed that a confession from Iran about alleged past weapons development was ā€œnot enoughā€. The British ambassador argued that some "penance" from Iran was required ā€œto redress fundamental concerns about its nuclear programā€.

In other words, Iran should relinquish the right to a civilian nuclear program accorded to it by virtue of its membership of the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty.

The cables show that the US also seized on the NIEā€™s finding that Iran decided to abandon its nuclear weapons program, ā€œprimarily in response to increasing international scrutiny and pressureā€, as a justification for further punitive measures in preference to negotiations.

However, United Nations Security Council (UNSC) sanctions were not imposed on Iran until 2006 and several countries, including The Netherlands and Azerbaijan, questioned the logic of this argument. Others suggested that, in light of the NIEā€™s findings, diplomacy should take precedence over sanctions and threats.

Swiss proposals to facilitate ā€œdirect confidential U.S.-Iranian talksā€ and promote ā€œnegotiation on an overall package without preconditionsā€ were described in as ā€œrecurring, troublesome themes in Swiss [Ministry of Foreign Affairs] thinkingā€.

The US also used the threat of an increase in the price of oil to justify a continuing tough line on Iran, that markets ā€œreact not only to real risk, but to mere perceptions of risk, and in a world where supply and demand are carefully balanced, a nuclear Iran could precipitate a dramatic spike in oil prices affecting the global economy, and particularly net importers like Tanzaniaā€.

On the whole, US allies fell into line and insisted that the NIE would not change their policy towards Iran. However, many cables note their concern that the report would make it harder to persuade other countries, including UNSC permanent members, Russia and China, to back more UNSC sanctions against Iran.

Others clearly felt slighted by the USā€™s decision to release the NIE without telling them first, and several questioned the timing of its release.

Minister of State at the British Foreign Office Kim Howells . The European Unionā€™s foreign policy chief, Javier Solana, and complained that it ā€œtook the military option off the table and increased the difficulty of negotiations with the Iraniansā€.

French political advisers and ā€œ[t]he best Christmas gift Ahmadinejad could have imagined". They anticipated ā€œlasting consequences, including eliminating France's ability to build consensus in Europeā€.

Saudi King Abdullah reassured the US that the NIE had not changed his view that Iran intended to pursue nuclear weapons, .

Then-Israeli prime minister and that ā€œIsrael was convinced that Iran was determined to get the bomb, but there was no smoking gunā€. He ā€œstressed that every means must be used to pressure Iranā€.

Likud Party chairperson Benjamin Netanyahu (now prime minister) took the same position, saying that ā€œnobody in Israel believes Iran has stopped its nuclear programā€ and ā€œit was important that the US not take the military option off the tableā€.

International Atomic Energy Director General , stating publicly that ā€œIran obviously has been somewhat vindicated in saying they have not been working on a weapons program at least for the last few yearsā€.

A reported: ā€œThe UK took particular exception to ElBaradei's post-NIE remark that Iran had been ā€˜vindicatedā€™.ā€

entitled ā€œIAEA/Iran: Like-Minded Ambassadors Regroup Post-NIEā€ reported the Australian Ambassador to the IAEA as saying, ā€œwe need to ā€˜come down hardā€™ on the DGā€.

[This is the first of a three-part series by Linda Pearson on the significance of WikiLeaks and the NIE to war-drive against Iran.]

Ā鶹“«Ć½ Weekly is giving away five double passes to a special screening of Underground: The Julian Assange Story at 6.45pm, Cinema Nova in Melbourne on March 22.

The screening is organised by WikiLeaks Australian Citizens Alliance (WACA). Following the screening there will be a lively discussion with Robert Connolly (director), Sam Castro (WACA Co-founder), Greg Barns (Australian Lawyers Alliance), Daniel Matthews (WikiLeaks Co-founder). All attendees will also receive a DVD package, including behind-the-scenes featurettes, a copy of the screenplay, production photographs, tracks from the score, an extract from Suelette Dreyfusā€™s eBook and a link to stream the directorā€™s commentary.

To go in the draw, email weekly.greenleft@gmail.com with your name and phone number by 6pm Wednesday, March 20.



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